Where are the Big Ideas to Fix Rhode Island’s Economy?

Monday, March 30, 2015

 

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Where are the big ideas to fix RI's economy? From the Governor, to business and political experts, perspectives vary.

With Rhode Island's unemployment rate the lowest its been since 2008, but a top economist calling the state's momentum "mediocre and disappointing" -- where are the big ideas to fix Rhode Island's economy? 

"Where are the big ideas to fix the economy, you ask?  Back there during the campaign," said Roger Williams University Professor of Political Science June Speakman. "Political scientists and other observers of politics have long noticed that campaigning and governing are not the same, despite the efforts of the most well-intentioned candidates.  On the stump, candidates can promise anything.  They articulate their vision, free of the multiple and cross-cutting demands placed on those in government.   Once elected, of course, candidates come face-to-face with the harsh realities of other people's plans and ambitions, of the tight calendars of the budget cycle, and of the persistent lack of resources."

Governor Gina Raimondo introduced her budget proposal to mixed reaction on March 12.

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"Rhode Island’s economic engine is stalled, and we need bold action to spark an economic recovery and put people back to work. That's why Governor Raimondo introduced a forward-looking, balanced budget proposal rooted in the belief that every hardworking person deserves the chance to make it in Rhode Island," said Raimondo press secretary Marie Aberger. "The Governor's JOBS Budget proposes significant investments to build the skills our students and workers need to succeed in the 21st century, attract new businesses and help our existing business grow, and foster innovation in government to deliver better value to taxpayers. The Governor's budget makes these investments while setting our state on a fiscally responsible path - closing an inherited $190 million shortfall without cuts in education spending that would threaten our future or any broad-based tax increases that would threaten our competitiveness."

URI Distinguished Professor of Business Edward Mazze, however, saw a lack of "big ideas" in the state. 

"No big ideas have been presented to fix Rhode Island's economy and create jobs. To date, the only new jobs created in Rhode Island have been in the executive branch of government," said Mazze.  "Three big ideas that could move the state forward immediately are (1) more support for existing businesses, specifically small businesses and downtown business centers, (2) less regulation for existing businesses and (3) a focused economic development program that attracts businesses that can take advantage of Rhode Island's current strategic assets."

Business, Innovation Leaders Offer Thoughts

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Will the 195 land redevelopment spark big ideas - besides the PawSox?

"There probably isn't one big idea that will turn things around fast.  The Governor and General Assembly must continue to solve all the niggling issues that frustrate existing small business including regulatory blockages, the skills mismatch and the general lack of demand due to weak employment," said Greater Providence Chamber of Commerce President Chamber of Commerce. "Having said that, my hypothetical big idea would be for the state's leaders to aggressively recruit two mega employers: a 500+ tech employer and 500+ advanced manufacturing employer.  An influx of 1000 new high wage high skilled jobs would solve a multitude of problems for talented young people and established workers with a manufacturing background.  It would also set off supply chain reverberations for existing local businesses."

While the development of the 195 land has been in the works for years, the current discussions regarding the Pawtucket Red Sox possibly moving to Providence have been the focal point until now.   

"The best evidence that Rhode Island is willing and able to transform its economy would be a game changing development deal for the 195 relocation parcels to catalyze a higher wage economy based on innovation and entrepreneurship," said Saul Kaplan with the Business Innovation Factory. "We need to punch above our fight weight. It will require Rhode Island's leading private sector institutions to collaborate in an unprecedented way to aggregate existing demand combined with smart public incentives (also unprecedented) to convince a major national developer to bring their know-how and significant capital to the Ocean State to help us do something transformational."

Would the PawSox moving to Providence be a game changer?

"It would be good to keep the Paw Sox in Rhode Island if the cost to taxpayers is zero and the property that the stadium is located is the best use for the land. This is an example of where a cost-benefit analysis would make sense. It is time for the state to adopt 'modern management' ideas - a robust ethics policy for public officials and a scorecard to measure and report on the progress of any economic incentives so that we can measure if new jobs are being created rather than shuffled around," said Mazze. "These are things that would turn around Rhode Island's reputation as the 'Let's make a Deal State.' Where are the big ideas to fix Rhode Island's economy? They should be coming from the private sector."

Real-World Perspective?

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RIC Professor Val Endress warns of past history - as far as big ideas are concerned.

"The Governor knows we need a comprehensive approach - in the short, medium, and long term - to tackle the challenges we face," said Aberger. "Her proposals will boost the economy in the near term by raising the minimum wage, expanding the Earned Income Tax Credit, and putting construction crews back to work modernizing our schools. Her policies will strengthen the economy in the medium-term by making the state a better place to do business, removing regulatory burdens and creating a robust and aggressive set of economic development tools. And her proposals invest in our state's long-term economic development, funding full-day kindergarten across the state, making record investments in K-12 education, and laying the foundation to reinvent Medicaid. At the root of each of these proposals is the Governor's unwavering focus on creating jobs and expanding opportunity. "

Rhode Island College Profressor of Communications Valere Endress noted that the "honeymoon" phase would have to pass to have a clearer view of the Governor's agenda - and the public might be wary of any "big idea" type of fix. 

"Conventional wisdom would tell you that Governor Raimondo's honeymoon with the public has a limited shelf life, and would normally be defined as that period prior to which the first budget is submitted  If he or she hasn't make the big moves by then, much of the attention then focuses upon the General Assembly's reaction and response to the Governor's proposals and, in that context, we're reminded of the limits of gubernatorial powers," said Endress. "But, the problems Rhode Island faces are deeply embedded and long lasting.  The Governor wisely stated that the state's climb toward recovery would take time and patience.  I would guess that most in the electorate understand that there is no magic bullet in the offing, and would be suspicious of such claims--especially considering the history of the 38 Studios fiasco.  Given the public's understanding of some of the seemingly intractable problems with Rhode Island's economy, I would guess that her constituents will wait well beyond the normal "honeymoon" before passing judgment upon the Governor's ability to turn the corner on Rhode Island's economic recovery.

 

Related Slideshow: Raimondo’s Budget - Winners and Losers

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Winner

Lower-Income Senior Citizens

Acknowledging one of Speaker Mattiello's top priorities for the legislative session -- cutting taxes on social security benefits -- Raimondo's budget proposal exempts Social Security benefits from state personal income tax for single filers with Federal Adjusted Gross Income less than $50,000 and for married filers with Federal AGI less than $60,000.  "This proposal would place Rhode Island on an equal footing with Connecticut," said Raimondo's office -- adding that the proposal is "estimated to reduce the final payments component of personal income tax by $3.9 million in FY 2016."

Photo: Neil Moralee/Flickr

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Loser

Million Dollar Second Home Owners

Says Raimondo, "revenue options were specifically chosen to minimize impact on working Rhode Islanders."  The Governor proposed establishing a statewide property tax for non-owner occupied residences (i.e., vacation homes, second residences) and vacant residential land valued at greater than $1.0 million. This effort would provide $11.8 million through a "relatively small number of wealthy taxpayers," said Raimondo.  And some disagreed with the approach. "Her proposal for increasing taxes, whether on health insurance plans, on a new, statewide property tax on second homes valued at over a million dollars, on cigarettes or on anything else, is a complete non-starter," said Monique Chartier with RI Taxpayer. "Rhode Island has a spending problem, not a revenue problem, as evidenced by some of the highest taxes in the country and it is surprising that the governor, with her financial background, does not recognize this."

Image: Andrew_Writer/Flickr

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Winner

Construction Workers

The Governor’s budget includes an additional $20.0 million from state debt refinancing proceeds to create a capital fund to help address school facility needs -- and establishes a School Building Authority within RIDE to oversee distribution of school modernization funds, targeting facilities in greatest need. Lifting the school construction moratorium, the budget proposal sets the annual construction aid appropriation at $80.0 million starting in FY 2017.  According to Raimondo, this will "create fiscal stability with predictable funding and allows for projects to be prioritized."  In addition, a non-school package of real estate tax incentives is intended to "encourage construction of job-producing projects, with a focus on development near transit hubs and historic structures."

Photo: Alan Kotok/Flickr

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Loser

Smokers

The Governor’s budget proposed a number of additional revenues, including increasing the state’s cigarette excise tax by $0.25 per pack, from $3.50 to $3.75 per pack. "This increase will raise $7.1 million in FY 2016 while discouraging smoking and improving health outcomes," said Raimondo.  According to the Tax Foundation, Rhode Island had the third highest cigarette tax in the country in 2014.   

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Winner

Open Government

Raimondo touted launching the state's first web-based budget tool - and good-government watchdogs Common Cause weighed in on the development. Said Executive Director John Marion,"The state budget is the most important document produced by our government every year and until now that document has been trapped inside clunky PDF documents. With the new interactive budget Rhode Island now has a tool that makes those hundreds of pages much more accessible. Two key features stand out; the ability to look at how individual line items have grown or shrunk going back until 2008, and the ability to look at how the Governor's budget stands up to what the General Assembly eventually enacts. That second feature, if updated in real time, will empower citizens and journalists to much more easily follow the General Assembly's budget deliberations than they have been able to in the past. By extension that means we can more easily hold both the Governor and the legislature accountable for the hundreds of decisions made in the budget. Finally, by freeing the budget from PDFs, and providing the raw file for download, the democratization of data has reached Rhode Island's shores. Now anyone who is interested can build their own tool to analyze the choices reflected in the state budget.

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Loser

AirBnB

The Governor's budget proposal recommends requiring providers of unlicensed rentals of lodging accommodations, such as Airbnb, to be subject to all state lodging taxes. According to Raimondo's office, this proposal is anticipated to enhance sales and use tax revenues by $851,512 in FY 2016. 

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Winner

Tourism Industry

The Governor’s budget modifies the distribution of lodging tax dollars to provide a greater share to statewide tourism efforts to support a major state tourism marketing campaign -- but it comes at a cost.  "To provide sufficient resources for this initiative, the Governor’s budget establishes new revenue sources dedicated to tourism promotion. The budget proposes expanding sales and lodging taxes to online resellers of lodging accommodations, who currently pay no taxes on their markup over the wholesale prices. The budget also closes an existing loophole that exempts vacation houses and small bed and breakfasts from paying the sales and lodging taxes. Finally, the budget would apply sales and local lodging taxes to unlicensed rentals, which have increasingly become an alternative to hotels, bed and breakfasts and other licensed lodging. Further, the Governor proposes redirecting a greater portion of the state hotel tax to dedicate more funds to statewide tourism, marketing, and economic development at the Commerce Corporation. The net effect of changes to the tourism funding formula and new revenue sources is an additional $6.4 million annually."

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Loser

State Workers

The Governor’s budget proposes achieving savings of $22.0 million related to personnel and employee benefits.  "Administration officials will work with state employees and their representatives to find the savings while avoiding significant layoffs," said Raimondo -- who volunteered to do her part for cost savings by announcing Thursday evening that she would be taking a 5% paycut herself. 

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Winner

Kindergarteners

At the same time the State expands access to pre-K classes, some communities still do not offer full-day kindergarten. "The Governor has noted the importance of providing quality full-day kindergarten in all of our communities. Her budget includes an additional $1.4 million to expand full-day kindergarten to children in every city and town by August 2016. Finally, to ensure that our teachers reflect the growing diversity of Rhode Island’s children, the budget includes $250,000 in grant funding to recruit and train more diverse teachers," wrote the Raimondo office.  

Photo: woodleywonderworks/Flickr

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Loser

Hospitals

For DHS, the Governor recommends reinstituting the hospital licensing fee at 5.703 percent on FY 2013 net patient revenues to increase FY 2016 licenses and fees revenues by $156.1 million. 

 
 

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